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实际产品市场的真实价格对上市猪企股价的影响——基于 Python 爬取日度数据的分析
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简介
在资本市场上，猪肉股的价格也随着实际猪肉产品的“猪周期”而显示出规律性的变化，因此成为周期股的典型，不少投资者正是因为看中这一特征，选择对猪肉股进行周期性的投资，即在周期底部买入，在周期顶部卖出，来赚取较为可观的资本收益。 然而在实际市场投资中，投资者们逐渐发现这一确定性非常高的投资策略也有着极高的风险，其风险主要来源于两方面： 一是由于 “猪周期”的轮动时间较长，一般为 4 年左右，在周期底部区域，企业长期面临严重的亏损，不少企业出现现金流危机，甚至会被收购兼并，导致投资者权 益受到损失； 二是因为“猪周期”在资本市场上的顶部和底部区域并不容易判断。
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